Insights

Intelligence for a changing energy and industrial world

Market intelligence, policy, technology and execution perspectives focused on the commercial implications that matter.

What matters, why it matters, what to do next

Not news summaries. Each insight carries a sourced data point, the commercial implication and the move it points to for manufacturers, developers and investors in the U.S. energy and industrial market.

Policy & Regulation · October 26, 2026

On January 1, the bar for U.S. storage moves from 55% to 60%

Storage projects that begin construction in 2027 need 60% non-prohibited content to claim the §48E credit. Buyers now ask suppliers for the evidence at the first meeting.

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AI & Technology · October 21, 2026

Musk's 13 GW: a reality check

SpaceX added 0.3 GW of AI compute last quarter. 13 GW by end-2027 needs 2.5 GW every quarter. The binding constraint is turbine castings.

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Policy & Regulation · October 14, 2026

It's final. The India, Indonesia and Laos route into U.S. solar is closing

The ITC voted 5-0 on October 14. Duty orders follow in November. Here is what it means commercially.

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Projects & Execution · October 9, 2026

Texas froze its data center grid queue. The capital markets had already moved on

Behind-the-meter power has become a financing thesis. The obstacle now is equipment, not appetite.

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Projects & Execution · October 8, 2026

Texas's data center queue grew 7x in 18 months. Then the state hit pause

ERCOT's large-load queue now exceeds five times the grid's record peak. Developers have stopped waiting.

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Policy & Regulation · October 7, 2026

Asian BESS manufacturers: the U.S. market didn't close. The entry ticket changed

The foreign-entity material assistance test now decides which storage suppliers get a U.S. purchase order.

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AI & Technology · September 21, 2026

The real AI infrastructure bottleneck isn't chips. It's transformers

Large power transformer lead times have nearly tripled since 2021, and the U.S. imports most of its supply.

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Market Intelligence · September 21, 2026

ERCOT battery revenue didn't just fall after RTC+B. It got unpredictable

Monthly storage revenue now swings by a factor of almost three, and ancillary services is the bigger loss.

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Policy & Regulation · September 14, 2026

The U.S. just closed another loophole for Chinese-linked solar cells

Final Solar IV duties reach 249% for Indian cells. The window is widening for verified non-Chinese capacity.

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Market Intelligence · September 8, 2026

One OEM's gas turbine backlog nearly doubled in two quarters

Between exporting as-is and building a full plant, there is underused ground for foreign manufacturers.

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Policy & Regulation · September 7, 2026

Section 232's 15% ceiling protects six jurisdictions. Almost everyone else stacks, uncapped

Same 15% headline, different real number. Your origin decides what you actually pay.

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Market Intelligence · September 6, 2026

Solar's 2026 bottleneck isn't cells. It's wafers

U.S. cell capacity under construction is four times wafer capacity. That gap decides who builds cells profitably.

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